IIabm/model.py

473 lines
23 KiB
Python

import agentpy as ap
import pandas as pd
import numpy as np
import networkx as nx
from firm import FirmAgent
from product import ProductAgent
from orm import db_session, Result
import platform
import json
class Model(ap.Model):
def setup(self):
self.sample = self.p.sample
self.int_stop_times, self.int_stop_t = 0, None
self.nprandom = np.random.default_rng(self.p.seed)
self.int_n_iter = int(self.p.n_iter)
self.dct_lst_remove_firm_prod = self.p.dct_lst_init_remove_firm_prod
self.int_n_max_trial = int(self.p.n_max_trial)
self.flt_netw_pref_supp_n = float(self.p.netw_pref_supp_n)
self.flt_netw_pref_supp_size = float(self.p.netw_pref_supp_size)
self.flt_cap_limit = int(self.p.cap_limit)
self.flt_diff_remove = float(self.p.diff_remove)
self.proactive_ratio = float(self.p.proactive_ratio)
# init graph bom
G_bom = nx.adjacency_graph(json.loads(self.p.g_bom))
self.product_network = ap.Network(self, G_bom)
# init graph firm
Firm = pd.read_csv("Firm_amended.csv")
Firm['Code'] = Firm['Code'].astype('string')
Firm.fillna(0, inplace=True)
Firm_attr = Firm.loc[:, ["Code", "Name", "Type_Region", "Revenue_Log"]]
firm_product = []
for _, row in Firm.loc[:, '1':].iterrows():
firm_product.append(row[row == 1].index.to_list())
Firm_attr.loc[:, 'Product_Code'] = firm_product
Firm_attr.set_index('Code', inplace=True)
G_Firm = nx.MultiDiGraph()
G_Firm.add_nodes_from(Firm["Code"])
firm_labels_dict = {}
for code in G_Firm.nodes:
firm_labels_dict[code] = Firm_attr.loc[code].to_dict()
nx.set_node_attributes(G_Firm, firm_labels_dict)
# init graph firm prod
Firm_Prod = pd.read_csv("Firm_amended.csv")
Firm_Prod.fillna(0, inplace=True)
firm_prod = pd.DataFrame({'bool': Firm_Prod.loc[:, '1':].stack()})
firm_prod = firm_prod[firm_prod['bool'] == 1].reset_index()
firm_prod.drop('bool', axis=1, inplace=True)
firm_prod.rename({'level_0': 'Firm_Code',
'level_1': 'Product_Code'}, axis=1, inplace=True)
firm_prod['Firm_Code'] = firm_prod['Firm_Code'].astype('string')
G_FirmProd = nx.MultiDiGraph()
G_FirmProd.add_nodes_from(firm_prod.index)
firm_prod_labels_dict = {}
for code in firm_prod.index:
firm_prod_labels_dict[code] = firm_prod.loc[code].to_dict()
nx.set_node_attributes(G_FirmProd, firm_prod_labels_dict)
# add edge to G_firm according to G_bom
for node in nx.nodes(G_Firm):
for product_code in G_Firm.nodes[node]['Product_Code']:
for pred_product_code in \
list(G_bom.predecessors(product_code)):
# for each product of a certain firm
# get each predecessor (component) of this product
# get a list of firm producing this component
lst_pred_firm = Firm['Code'][Firm[pred_product_code] ==
1].to_list()
lst_pred_firm_size_damp = \
[G_Firm.nodes[pred_firm]['Revenue_Log'] **
self.flt_netw_pref_supp_size
for pred_firm in lst_pred_firm
]
lst_prob = \
[size_damp / sum(lst_pred_firm_size_damp)
for size_damp in lst_pred_firm_size_damp
]
# select multiple supplier
# based on relative size of this firm
lst_same_prod_firm = Firm['Code'][Firm[product_code] ==
1].to_list()
lst_same_prod_firm_size = [
G_Firm.nodes[f]['Revenue_Log']
for f in lst_same_prod_firm
]
share = G_Firm.nodes[node]['Revenue_Log'] / sum(
lst_same_prod_firm_size)
# damp share
share = share ** self.flt_netw_pref_supp_n
n_pred_firm = round(share * len(lst_pred_firm)) if round(
share * len(lst_pred_firm)) > 0 else 1 # at least one
lst_choose_firm = self.nprandom.choice(lst_pred_firm,
n_pred_firm,
replace=False,
p=lst_prob)
lst_add_edge = [(node, pred_firm, {
'Product': product_code
}) for pred_firm in lst_choose_firm]
G_Firm.add_edges_from(lst_add_edge)
# graph firm prod
pred_node = [n for n, v in G_FirmProd.nodes(data=True)
if v['Firm_Code'] == node and
v['Product_Code'] == product_code][0]
for pred_firm in lst_choose_firm:
pred_node = [n for n, v in G_FirmProd.nodes(data=True)
if v['Firm_Code'] == pred_firm and
v['Product_Code'] == pred_product_code][0]
G_FirmProd.add_edge(pred_node, pred_node)
# unconnected node
# for node in nx.nodes(G_Firm):
# if node.
self.sample.g_firm = json.dumps(nx.adjacency_data(G_Firm))
self.firm_network = ap.Network(self, G_Firm)
self.firm_prod_network = G_FirmProd
# init product
for ag_node, attr in self.product_network.graph.nodes(data=True):
product = ProductAgent(self, code=ag_node.label, name=attr['Name'])
self.product_network.add_agents([product], [ag_node])
self.a_lst_total_products = ap.AgentList(self,
self.product_network.agents)
# init firm
for ag_node, attr in self.firm_network.graph.nodes(data=True):
firm_agent = FirmAgent(
self,
code=ag_node.label,
name=attr['Name'],
type_region=attr['Type_Region'],
revenue_log=attr['Revenue_Log'],
a_lst_product=self.a_lst_total_products.select([
code in attr['Product_Code']
for code in self.a_lst_total_products.code
]))
# init extra capacity based on discrete uniform distribution
for product in firm_agent.a_lst_product:
firm_agent.dct_prod_capacity[product] = \
self.nprandom.integers(firm_agent.revenue_log / 5,
firm_agent.revenue_log / 5 +
self.flt_cap_limit)
self.firm_network.add_agents([firm_agent], [ag_node])
self.a_lst_total_firms = ap.AgentList(self, self.firm_network.agents)
# init dct_list_remove_firm_prod (from string to agent)
t_dct = {}
for firm_code, lst_product in self.dct_lst_remove_firm_prod.items():
firm = self.a_lst_total_firms.select(
self.a_lst_total_firms.code == firm_code)[0]
t_dct[firm] = self.a_lst_total_products.select([
code in lst_product for code in self.a_lst_total_products.code
])
self.dct_lst_remove_firm_prod = t_dct
self.dct_lst_disrupt_firm_prod = t_dct
# init output
self.lst_dct_lst_remove_firm_prod = []
self.lst_dct_lst_disrupt_firm_prod = []
# set the initial firm product that are removed
for firm, a_lst_product in self.dct_lst_remove_firm_prod.items():
for product in a_lst_product:
assert product in firm.a_lst_product, \
f"product {product.code} not in firm {firm.code}"
firm.a_lst_product_removed.append(product)
# proactive strategy
# get all the firm prod affected
for firm, a_lst_product in self.dct_lst_remove_firm_prod.items():
for product in a_lst_product:
init_node = \
[n for n, v in
self.firm_prod_network.nodes(data=True)
if v['Firm_Code'] == firm.code and
v['Product_Code'] == product.code][0]
dct_affected = \
nx.dfs_successors(self.firm_prod_network,
init_node)
lst_affected = set()
for i, (u, vs) in enumerate(dct_affected.items()):
# at least 2 hops away
if i > 0:
pred_node = self.firm_prod_network.nodes[u]
for v in vs:
succ_node = self.firm_prod_network.nodes[v]
lst_affected.add((succ_node['Firm_Code'],
succ_node['Product_Code']))
lst_affected = list(lst_affected)
lst_firm_proactive = \
[lst_affected[i] for i in
self.nprandom.choice(range(len(lst_affected)),
round(len(lst_affected) *
self.proactive_ratio))]
for firm_code, prod_code in lst_firm_proactive:
pro_firm_prod_code = \
[n for n, v in
self.firm_prod_network.nodes(data=True)
if v['Firm_Code'] == firm_code and
v['Product_Code'] == prod_code][0]
pro_firm_prod_node = \
self.firm_prod_network.nodes[pro_firm_prod_code]
pro_firm = \
self.a_lst_total_firms.select(
[firm.code == pro_firm_prod_node['Firm_Code']
for firm in self.a_lst_total_firms])[0]
lst_shortest_path = \
list(nx.all_shortest_paths(self.firm_prod_network,
source=init_node,
target=pro_firm_prod_code))
dct_drs = {}
for di_supp_code in self.firm_prod_network.predecessors(
pro_firm_prod_code):
di_supp_node = \
self.firm_prod_network.nodes[di_supp_code]
di_supp_prod = \
self.a_lst_total_products.select(
[product.code == di_supp_node['Product_Code']
for product in self.a_lst_total_products])[0]
di_supp_firm = \
self.a_lst_total_firms.select(
[firm.code == di_supp_node['Firm_Code']
for firm in self.a_lst_total_firms])[0]
lst_cand = self.model.a_lst_total_firms.select([
di_supp_prod in firm.a_lst_product
and di_supp_prod not in firm.a_lst_product_removed
for firm in self.model.a_lst_total_firms
])
n2n_betweenness = \
sum([True if di_supp_code in path else False
for path in lst_shortest_path]) \
/ len(lst_shortest_path)
drs = n2n_betweenness / \
(len(lst_cand) * di_supp_firm.revenue_log)
dct_drs[di_supp_code] = drs
dct_drs = dict(sorted(
dct_drs.items(), key=lambda kv: kv[1], reverse=True))
for di_supp_code in dct_drs.keys():
di_supp_node = \
self.firm_prod_network.nodes[di_supp_code]
di_supp_prod = \
self.a_lst_total_products.select(
[product.code == di_supp_node['Product_Code']
for product in self.a_lst_total_products])[0]
# find a dfferent firm can produce the same product
lst_cand = self.model.a_lst_total_firms.select([
di_supp_prod in firm.a_lst_product
and di_supp_prod not in firm.a_lst_product_removed
and firm.code != di_supp_node['Firm_Code']
for firm in self.model.a_lst_total_firms
])
if len(lst_cand) > 0:
select_cand = self.nprandom.choice(lst_cand)
self.firm_network.graph.add_edges_from([
(self.firm_network.positions[select_cand],
self.firm_network.positions[pro_firm], {
'Product': di_supp_prod.code
})
])
# print(f"proactive add {select_cand.code} to "
# f"{pro_firm.code} "
# f"for {di_supp_code} {di_supp_prod.code}")
# change capacity
select_cand.dct_prod_capacity[di_supp_prod] -= 1
break
# draw network
# self.draw_network()
def update(self):
self.a_lst_total_firms.clean_before_time_step()
# output
self.lst_dct_lst_remove_firm_prod.append(
(self.t, self.dct_lst_remove_firm_prod))
self.lst_dct_lst_disrupt_firm_prod.append(
(self.t, self.dct_lst_disrupt_firm_prod))
# stop simulation if reached terminal number of iteration
if self.t == self.int_n_iter or len(
self.dct_lst_remove_firm_prod) == 0:
self.int_stop_times = self.t
self.stop()
def step(self):
# print('\n', '=' * 20, 'step', self.t, '=' * 20)
# print(
# 'dct_list_remove_firm_prod', {
# key.name: value.code
# for key, value in self.dct_lst_remove_firm_prod.items()
# })
# remove_edge_to_cus_and_cus_up_prod
for firm, a_lst_product in self.dct_lst_remove_firm_prod.items():
for product in a_lst_product:
firm.remove_edge_to_cus_remove_cus_up_prod(product)
for n_trial in range(self.int_n_max_trial):
# print('=' * 10, 'trial', n_trial, '=' * 10)
# seek_alt_supply
# shuffle self.a_lst_total_firms
self.a_lst_total_firms = self.a_lst_total_firms.shuffle()
for firm in self.a_lst_total_firms:
if len(firm.a_lst_up_product_removed) > 0:
firm.seek_alt_supply()
# handle_request
# shuffle self.a_lst_total_firms
self.a_lst_total_firms = self.a_lst_total_firms.shuffle()
for firm in self.a_lst_total_firms:
if len(firm.dct_request_prod_from_firm) > 0:
firm.handle_request()
# reset dct_request_prod_from_firm
self.a_lst_total_firms.clean_before_trial()
# do not use:
# self.a_lst_total_firms.dct_request_prod_from_firm = {} why?
# based on a_lst_up_product_removed
# update a_lst_product_disrupted / a_lst_product_removed
# update dct_lst_disrupt_firm_prod / dct_lst_remove_firm_prod
self.dct_lst_remove_firm_prod = {}
self.dct_lst_disrupt_firm_prod = {}
for firm in self.a_lst_total_firms:
if len(firm.a_lst_up_product_removed) > 0:
# print(firm.name, 'a_lst_up_product_removed', [
# product.code for product in firm.a_lst_up_product_removed
# ])
for product in firm.a_lst_product:
n_up_product_removed = 0
for up_product_removed in firm.a_lst_up_product_removed:
if product in up_product_removed.a_successors():
n_up_product_removed += 1
if n_up_product_removed == 0:
continue
else:
# update a_lst_product_disrupted
# update dct_lst_disrupt_firm_prod
if product not in firm.a_lst_product_disrupted:
firm.a_lst_product_disrupted.append(product)
if firm in self.dct_lst_disrupt_firm_prod.keys():
self.dct_lst_disrupt_firm_prod[firm].append(
product)
else:
self.dct_lst_disrupt_firm_prod[
firm] = ap.AgentList(
self.model, [product])
# update a_lst_product_removed
# update dct_list_remove_firm_prod
# mark disrupted firm as removed based conditionally
lost_percent = n_up_product_removed / len(
product.a_predecessors())
lst_size = self.a_lst_total_firms.revenue_log
lst_size = [firm.revenue_log for firm
in self.a_lst_total_firms
if product in firm.a_lst_product
and product
not in firm.a_lst_product_removed
]
std_size = (firm.revenue_log - min(lst_size) +
1) / (max(lst_size) - min(lst_size) + 1)
prob_remove = 1 - std_size * (1 - lost_percent)
# damp prod
prob_remove = prob_remove ** self.flt_diff_remove
# sample prob
prob_remove = self.nprandom.uniform(
prob_remove - 0.1, prob_remove + 0.1)
prob_remove = 1 if prob_remove > 1 else prob_remove
prob_remove = 0 if prob_remove < 0 else prob_remove
if self.nprandom.choice([True, False],
p=[prob_remove,
1 - prob_remove]):
firm.a_lst_product_removed.append(product)
if firm in self.dct_lst_remove_firm_prod.keys():
self.dct_lst_remove_firm_prod[firm].append(
product)
else:
self.dct_lst_remove_firm_prod[
firm] = ap.AgentList(
self.model, [product])
# print(
# 'dct_list_remove_firm_prod', {
# key.name: value.code
# for key, value in self.dct_lst_remove_firm_prod.items()
# })
def end(self):
# print('/' * 20, 'output', '/' * 20)
# print('dct_list_remove_firm_prod')
# for t, dct in self.lst_dct_lst_remove_firm_prod:
# for firm, a_lst_product in dct.items():
# for product in a_lst_product:
# print(t, firm.name, product.code)
# print('dct_lst_disrupt_firm_prod')
# for t, dct in self.lst_dct_lst_disrupt_firm_prod:
# for firm, a_lst_product in dct.items():
# for product in a_lst_product:
# print(t, firm.name, product.code)
qry_result = db_session.query(Result).filter_by(s_id=self.sample.id)
if qry_result.count() == 0:
lst_result_info = []
for t, dct in self.lst_dct_lst_disrupt_firm_prod:
for firm, a_lst_product in dct.items():
for product in a_lst_product:
db_r = Result(s_id=self.sample.id,
id_firm=firm.code,
id_product=product.code,
ts=t,
is_disrupted=True)
lst_result_info.append(db_r)
db_session.bulk_save_objects(lst_result_info)
db_session.commit()
for t, dct in self.lst_dct_lst_remove_firm_prod:
for firm, a_lst_product in dct.items():
for product in a_lst_product:
# only firm disrupted can be removed theoretically
qry_f_p = db_session.query(Result).filter(
Result.s_id == self.sample.id,
Result.id_firm == firm.code,
Result.id_product == product.code)
if qry_f_p.count() == 1:
qry_f_p.update({"is_removed": True})
db_session.commit()
self.sample.is_done_flag = 1
self.sample.computer_name = platform.node()
self.sample.stop_t = self.int_stop_times
db_session.commit()
def draw_network(self):
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
plt.rcParams['font.sans-serif'] = 'SimHei'
pos = nx.nx_agraph.graphviz_layout(self.firm_network.graph,
prog="twopi",
args="")
node_label = nx.get_node_attributes(self.firm_network.graph, 'Name')
node_degree = dict(self.firm_network.graph.out_degree())
node_label = {
key: f"{key} {node_label[key]} {node_degree[key]}"
for key in node_label.keys()
}
node_size = list(
nx.get_node_attributes(self.firm_network.graph,
'Revenue_Log').values())
node_size = list(map(lambda x: x**2, node_size))
edge_label = nx.get_edge_attributes(self.firm_network.graph, "Product")
# multi(di)graphs, the keys are 3-tuples
edge_label = {(n1, n2): label
for (n1, n2, _), label in edge_label.items()}
plt.figure(figsize=(12, 12), dpi=300)
nx.draw(self.firm_network.graph,
pos,
node_size=node_size,
labels=node_label,
font_size=6)
nx.draw_networkx_edge_labels(self.firm_network.graph,
pos,
edge_label,
font_size=4)
plt.savefig("network.png")